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Bert Hofman's avatar

Thanks for your comments Jeff. I was not aware of Tetlock's book, and will look for it.

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Jeff Herzog's avatar

Thanks for sharing this thoughtful piece. Regarding Mokyr, there is a great chapter in Tetlock’s book on counterfactual history specifically focused on the China / Great Divergence thread, which came to mind as I read this because we are again trying to understand China’s technological trajectory

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